The lens has to communicate at high speed with the CMOS sensor in the body, since the phase-detect sensors are on the CMOS chip rather than in the traditional mirror box TTL SIR sensor. On mirrorless this would be a big problem. Nikon can bring a lot to the table (and price it right) but there’s speculation on the technical side that the Nikon F-mount data communication bus is too slow for high performance on-sensor PDAF or contrast detect AF. Nikon don’t have to sell as many expensive units to make up for fewer sales of cheap units and the full frame mirrorless market is the cornerstone of this strategy in 2018/19. There’s been a shift to higher-end models so the camera companies can target more enthusiastic and serious customers. To give you an idea of how important this camera will be for Nikon, consider this… Shipments of digital cameras fell to just 1/5th of the 2010 camera market peak last year, but the number of units isn’t the whole story. There are rumours the adapter might contain a mirror (shown in the patents) – which in my view would be a disaster. To invest in an all-new mirrorless lens range and sell so much Nikon F-mount glass is a big ask for Nikon shooters. It needs some inspiration to take on Sony. Nikon has to get the spec right, and one of the biggest things for me beyond D850 standard 4K video, is a really good F-mount adapter. I hope Nikon doesn’t do a mirrorless camera by-the-numbers! Politics is a study of power, there’s power in numbers and numbers are all about stupidity. If the trend continues, DSLRs (and potentially their lenses) will be obsolete in a few years. We are looking at over 6 million mirrorless shipments vs DSLR down at 5 or even 4 million this year. In 2018 the number of mirrorless cameras shipped are forecast to exceed those of DSLRs. Last year, of all units shipped, 7.5 million units were DSLRs, down 10% on the year, while 4 million were mirrorless, up 30%, according to CIPA. Now Canon too will be forced to put one foot in the future rather than an entire leg in the grave. So as you can see, Nikon’s hand was forced.
Nikon mirrorless full frame release date series#
The success of the Sony A7 series was the catalyst for Nikon’s return to the mirrorless market after the failed 1 series experiment, and according to Nikkei the mirrorless market is forecast to eclipse the sales of DSLRs for the first time in 2018. Now I truly believe Panasonic and Olympus must go full frame too. The Nikon FX mirrorless camera is now official and the press release went live on Nikon’s site today.
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